China's accumulation of
foreign currency is a hotly debated topic amongst economists who blame the
ongoing economic instability in the world on this accumulation of foreign
currency in China’s hands.
Given the arrival of increasing
numbers of Chinese people and enterprises in our rohe, this is an issue I have
taken pains to consider and understand how it impacts on us. What I have found is that it all pivots on
two practices that New Zealanders embraced religiously in the past, but today,
not so much; i.e. hard work combined with thrift.
This is not
a popular message, but it is true nevertheless.
For decades New Zealanders have been living way beyond our means at a
terrible cost to our future, and to do so we’ve been borrowing.
In 2011, our borrowing hit $380
million per week, the highest rate ever recorded. By June this year that was down to $200
million per week. But that just
includes government debt. Add in household and corporate debt and your eyes
will begin to water.
Most of that borrowed money comes
from the United States private banker, the Federal Reserve. So, allowing for inflation, the $billion
question is, where does the Federal Reserve get the money from originally?
There are a
range of mechanisms that explain how
the Federal Reserve creates money.
But when you tease those mechanisms apart to see where the money we
borrow comes from originally, whereas in the past you would have found a mix of
sources, today you will find China.
Not less
than a decade ago, China was an economic mess.
Now it’s the fastest growing economy in the world, and the United States
third largest trading partner, behind Canada and Mexico.
This turnaround was achieved on the back of
two very Chinese practices; hard work and thrift. It was also boosted by the west’s addiction
to spending more than we earn.
As a result China
built a savings record and balance
of payments which Winston Peters could only dream about, and it became the
biggest lender to the United States.
However,
because the Federal Reserve continued printing money like it was going out of
fashion, the value of the US greenback got more and more flakey. So in order to
turn the rapidly devaluing American currency it held into things that would
hold their value, the Chinese began buying solid assets wherever they could,
including in our rohe.
The current
United States Secretary of Treasury Timothy Geithner, recently
accused China of "currency
manipulation." Read Barry
Ritzholt’s Bailout
Nation and you’ll see what a hypocrite Mr Geithner is.
From the 1980s onwards, western
bankers like John Key and Timothy Geithner, shamelessly manipulated currencies
around the world.
At the same time we happily spent trillions of dollars on cheap
Chinese goods and services.
This created employment in China, and the Chinese
worked hard and saved. Then they lent their
savings to us so we could buy more goods and services.
As Charles Dickens may have put
it, China ate a small cup of gruel in a cold dark room to save money.
So, now
that China is spending some of its foreign currency internationally, including in
our rohe, will Chinese people continue to embrace hard work and thrift?
More critically, for the sake of our future, will
we again embrace those values ourselves?
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